Biases in political journalism and election forecasting

An aggressive pursuit of centrism will blind us to truths otherwise evident in the data

A brief aside: I assure you that this is a post about political journalism and forecasting, but I must begin with the ideological. Forgive me.

I am not a political moderate. That much should be evident from many of my tweets and other newsletter dispatches. Fundamentally, I think that center-left policies and mixed-market economics usually solve our coll…