Can we anticipate polling error? 📊 July 26, 2020

With 100 days to go, it’s hard to see how Trump stages a comeback

At 100 days before the election, we’d usually be in the middle of convention season—but it’s 2020 and the world is on fire, so this year we’re polling likely boaters instead. Welcome to my weekly newsletter.

I’m G. Elliott Morris, a data journalist and political analyst who mostly covers polls, elections, and political science. As always, I invite you to drop me a line (or just respond to this email). Please hit the ❤️ below the title if you like what you’re reading; it’s our little trick to sway Substack’s curation algorithm. If you want more content, I publish subscriber-only posts 1-2x a week.