Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

Don't pay attention to election forecasting models based only on economics

They might not capture our politics like they used to

G. Elliott Morris's avatar
G. Elliott Morris
Oct 20, 2019
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The takeaway: Election forecasting models will never be perfect. Those based only on economics are more imperfect than others. They have higher errors and are built on a theory of political behavior that may not apply in an era of polarized politics. Therefore, we should probably not rely on them.

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