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Don't pay attention to election forecasting models based only on economics
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Don't pay attention to election forecasting models based only on economics

They might not capture our politics like they used to

G. Elliott Morris's avatar
G. Elliott Morris
Oct 20, 2019
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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Don't pay attention to election forecasting models based only on economics
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The takeaway: Election forecasting models will never be perfect. Those based only on economics are more imperfect than others. They have higher errors and are built on a theory of political behavior that may not apply in an era of polarized politics. Therefore, we should probably not rely on them.

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