What even is “electability”?
The Takeaway: Even as I proof-read this text, I can tell that I sound like a broken record. But here goes: General election polls released this early are likely not predictive of the final 2020 vote share—but perhaps we can still learn something from them. Here’s what I see in the numbers: Donald Trump is deeply unpopular, faces a tough re-election battle, and performs roughly the same against different opponents.
