Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Election polling on the wrong side of maybe
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Election polling on the wrong side of maybe

The misguided reason why so many people are so quick to dismiss polling

G. Elliott Morris's avatar
G. Elliott Morris
Nov 21, 2020
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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Election polling on the wrong side of maybe
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Friends,

Last week I wrote you a newsletter arguing that we should lower our expectations for pre-election polls. That was not an argument that polls are bad per se, but that spot-on election predictions in 2008 and 2012 gave many people a false sense of how accurate surveys can be. In our modern era of medium-turnout, polarized, competitive elections, …

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