Joe Biden is winning both new voters and vote-switchers 📊 August 2, 2020

2016 Trump voters are about three times likelier than Clinton voters to switch to the other side

If you’re newly worried about your mail-in ballots being counted, I bet you had never entrusted the postal service with an expensive package. And this is my weekly newsletter.

I’m G. Elliott Morris, a data journalist and political analyst who mostly covers polls, elections, and political science. As always, I invite you to drop me a line (or just respond to this email). Please hit the ❤️ below the title if you like what you’re reading; it’s our little trick to sway Substack’s curation algorithm. If you want more content, I publish subscriber-only posts 1-2x a week.