Polling and forecasting in 2024 and beyond | #215 - May 14, 2023

Pollsters are "worried about Trump" again. But the problems in public opinion surveys run much deeper

Dear readers, here is a brief note relevant to the nerds.

I did not attend the annual meeting of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), held last week in Philadelphia, this year due to some professional obligations that kept me in Washington. Luckily the conference had a lot of highly engaged Twitter users that posted lots of grain…