The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter 📊 February 17, 2019

Which 2020 Candidates are Actually More/Less Popular Than Expected? + The GOP is in Trouble With the Young Voters & Primary Polling Predictiveness.

Welcome! I’m G. Elliott Morris, data journalist for The Economistand blogger of polls, elections, and political science. Happy Sunday! Here’s my weekly newsletter with links to what I’ve been reading and writing that puts the news in context with public opinion polls, political science, other data (some “big,” some small) and looks briefly at the week ahead. Let’s jump right in! Feedback? Drop me a line or just respond to this email. 

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This Week's Big Question

Who is the most popular 2020 candidate?

Harris and Warren lead the field.

In the 2020 nomination cycle, it’s really far too early for us to be using polls to predict who is going to win the most votes. After all, the Iowa Caucuses are more than eleven months away and the Democratic Nationa…