The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter 📊 January 6, 2019

Americans are Blaming Trump for the Government Shutdown. Focusing on his base hurts, not helps, his odds in 2020.

Welcome! I’m G. Elliott Morris, data journalist for The Economistand blogger of polls, elections, and political science. Happy Sunday! Here’s my weekly newsletter with links to what I’ve been reading and writing that puts the news in context with public opinion polls, political science, other data (some “big,” some small) and looks briefly at the week ahead. Let’s jump right in! Feedback? Drop me a line or just respond to this email. 

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This Week's Big Question

Who is losing the battle over the government shutdown?

President Trump is the biggest loser.

When we ask questions about political battles in Washington, there are a couple of things to consider (after deciding that it holds significance for people other than elites and DC insiders). First…