The gory details about how modern polling really works | #207 - October 23, 2022
Kitchen Confidential, but make it about polls
This week, I reported a story for The Economist that uncovered some very troubling details about pre-election polls being published by Center Street PAC, a new and self-described “non-partisan” super PAC that has pledged support for Democrats in key Senate contests. Center Street PAC has published some truly outlandish results over the course of this election cycle. What explains their systematic and severe pro-Democratic bias? Are the results justified? Is something more nefarious going on?
The story is here. Please read it. For more, here is a Twitter thread about what we found and how we found it:
The upshot to this narrow story about Center Street is that they have made some questionable methodological decisions that conveniently push almost all of their numbers in the Democratic direction. One explanation is that they do not know any better; Their pollster is the head of an investment firm and has never done thi…
