The (good) pollsters got the midterms right

Pundits who ignored the polls and predicted a "red wave" got burned

A day before the election, I published an article for The Economist titled “Why a Republican ripple is more likely than a red wave.” In it, I wrote about the paper’s polling averages and forecasting model. The data team saw a small GOP win as most likely in the House and a toss-up Senate race. This was all according to our analysis of the polls and fund…