Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

The shutdown helps Democrats by changing what "immigration" means to voters

Trump's approval on immigration varies by nearly 20 points depending on whether respondents are asked about border security, deportations, ICE, or immigration in general

G. Elliott Morris's avatar
G. Elliott Morris
Feb 20, 2026
∙ Paid

The partial government shutdown impacting the Department of Homeland Security enters its seventh day today, Feb. 20, 2026. It won’t end anytime soon. Congress is on recess until Feb. 23, and the White House has rejected Democrats’ latest counteroffer of various ICE reforms in exchange for department funding.

From a distance, this looks like a good old-fashioned shutdown. But Democrats are using the impasse as an opportunity to change what voters see in their heads when they hear the word “immigration.” On this, they have had some real success recently. While Trump polls significantly better on his handling of the border than on immigration overall, the gap between how voters feel about his immigration agenda (bad) and deportations (worse) has been shrinking. Every day the shutdown drags on, the national conversation about immigration drifts further from border crossings and closer to ICE agents in American cities.

This week’s Chart of the Week shows that voters see “immigration” differe…

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of G. Elliott Morris.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 G. Elliott Morris · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture