Trump is doomed! Biden is doomed! Trump is back on top! Wait...

Pump the breaks everyone. You have to take a holistic, long view of the data.

At some point I should actually look at the data, but I’ve noticed a particularly predictable pattern in my Twitter feed whereby posts about polls that favor Joe Biden get about a million and a half more retweets than those where Donald Trump is doing surprisingly well. Maybe that’s because the people I follow are mostly journalists and academics and le…