This week in political data: Gallup's newsy poll; New Pew benchmark data; Senate ratings; Manufacturing prices increase; and AI disrupting news traffic
The issue for democrats is the ability to engage with the people who are not happy with Trump. Their approval ratings are also at record lows. They need to engage and keep being engaged with the people most disaffected by this not just when the election is around the corner.
About "Pew does have a graph of party by gender that reinforces the trend against Democrats among young men:" that shows 18-29yo men favoring the GOP 52-34, and those women favoring Dems 58-37, roughly balancing out to even.
The Pew survey was taken Feb. 5 - June 18. During that time, a YouGov poll had Trump approval among all 18-29yos going from 55-45 in favor to 72-28 against.
So I wonder if Pew's long term survey missed that quick, radical change.
These sentences caught my attention and brought on feelings of despair: "The team behind the SCOTUS Poll has run the numbers and found that the public agrees with most Supreme Court rulings over the last year. While it’s notable when this happens, it’s usually not the case — so much so that just a few years ago the team wrote a journal article about how the Court is reliably right-leaning."
If that is indeed true, and is not based on some particularly hot issues, I have to wonder just how informed the public is on what happens at the Supreme Court. I also wonder if that includes all the Shadow Docket decisions. Or perhaps people do not realize the consequences of those decisions, particularly in issues affecting the environment. And allowing the dismantling of agencies BEFORE the courts have finished weighing in? The changes to the consumer products agency will have widespread consequences, none of them positive and some of them deadly.
He crashed and burned during the first term and Independents came rushing back…only to bail on him again not even a full year into term two. Why are Americans so freaking inconsistent???
My bias is to say that the education system has struggled to teach enough people the habits of mind to pay attention, ask the right questiins and remember things, but that may very well just be me flailing to find a tidy explanation for "WTF is the matter with you lot?!"
Thank you for the numbers! Interesting correlation of AI searching with the decline of google searches and therefore digital ads getting less eyeballs. Makes you wonder how they will be adjusting the monetization of internet searching in the future. Also, it will be interesting to see how many jobs AI will be eliminating and how that does affect our Gen Z and Gen Alpha populations. Hoping what is created in the aftermath will be a net positive for society.
The issue for democrats is the ability to engage with the people who are not happy with Trump. Their approval ratings are also at record lows. They need to engage and keep being engaged with the people most disaffected by this not just when the election is around the corner.
About "Pew does have a graph of party by gender that reinforces the trend against Democrats among young men:" that shows 18-29yo men favoring the GOP 52-34, and those women favoring Dems 58-37, roughly balancing out to even.
The Pew survey was taken Feb. 5 - June 18. During that time, a YouGov poll had Trump approval among all 18-29yos going from 55-45 in favor to 72-28 against.
So I wonder if Pew's long term survey missed that quick, radical change.
Any thoughts on why Emerson's polls have been so much better for Trump than others (save for Trafalgar and the like)?
I would be interested in Trump polls that breakdown the income salary classes. Is there one?
These sentences caught my attention and brought on feelings of despair: "The team behind the SCOTUS Poll has run the numbers and found that the public agrees with most Supreme Court rulings over the last year. While it’s notable when this happens, it’s usually not the case — so much so that just a few years ago the team wrote a journal article about how the Court is reliably right-leaning."
If that is indeed true, and is not based on some particularly hot issues, I have to wonder just how informed the public is on what happens at the Supreme Court. I also wonder if that includes all the Shadow Docket decisions. Or perhaps people do not realize the consequences of those decisions, particularly in issues affecting the environment. And allowing the dismantling of agencies BEFORE the courts have finished weighing in? The changes to the consumer products agency will have widespread consequences, none of them positive and some of them deadly.
He crashed and burned during the first term and Independents came rushing back…only to bail on him again not even a full year into term two. Why are Americans so freaking inconsistent???
My bias is to say that the education system has struggled to teach enough people the habits of mind to pay attention, ask the right questiins and remember things, but that may very well just be me flailing to find a tidy explanation for "WTF is the matter with you lot?!"
Good reasoning, but I agree it’s so hard to find something to say other than “WTF IS WRONG WITH YOU ALL!?”
Thank you for the numbers! Interesting correlation of AI searching with the decline of google searches and therefore digital ads getting less eyeballs. Makes you wonder how they will be adjusting the monetization of internet searching in the future. Also, it will be interesting to see how many jobs AI will be eliminating and how that does affect our Gen Z and Gen Alpha populations. Hoping what is created in the aftermath will be a net positive for society.