I tend to skip articles that talk about the horrible crime problem, but fail to point out that crime is at a year low. The false narrative is way too pervasive in the US and has to be refuted, especially by someone who specializes in data.
Do you have the NORC poll broken out by race? Regarding Gallogly's point about positive marks for using the military to assist local police, I would love to see a breakdown by race on that.
Given that polls ask for opinions on crime "in your community", why don't they ever ask if people would approve of the federal government taking over the police force in their community?
And what the neck is NORC doing to weight results? Or has something changed in their methodology? Their results seem to be increasingly skewed on hot button topics?
Positive marks for using the military and national guard to assist local police.
Democrats have work to do to change this opinion.
I think it starts by emphasizing the local community policing and violence prevention actions already taken and the results produced so far. As Elliot noted, not just in comparison to last year or two years ago, but also things like Chicago had the fewest April murders in 2025 than any April since 1962.
It also requires by telling positive stories about city neighborhoods, even the ones with the most crime. It’s harder to mentally block an area as crime ridden or dangerous when you have been also hearing about summer festivals, new community centers & business openings, farmers’ markets, renovations of historic buildings.
I think that by now we established that the majority of American voters are morons. They don't really understand the reality, have trouble dealing with facts and figures, but by Jove they have strong opinions about everything, so strong, in fact that they can be swayed immediately by other morons on Tik Tok. Goodbye america, it was nice while it lasted.
I think the "left realist" school of criminology, which had a following particularly in Britain in the '80s and early '90s, offers a promising approach to these issues for Democrats. The tenets can be summarized as:
1. Crime is a real problem, particularly for working-class people who suffer disproportionately from street crime.
2. Progressives need a credible approach to crime control in order to prevent the right from owning the issue. They need to propose practical solutions for law and order issues.
3. There's a need to achieve a higher level of cooperation between police and public. This is best achieved through increasing local, democratic oversight of the police.
I think the US has a particular set of cultural issues that Britain avoids. We have a much stronger libertarian streak, that cuts across both left and right. We saw a lot of abolitionist talk in 2020, a position I believe is conservative, despite it's left coding. That makes it really hard to come up with a liberal/left anti crime agenda (I say that as someone who thinks the case for rethinking the role of policing is long overdue)
Crime? Cutbacks to all federal programs and fund billions in a domestic police force will see spikes in crime or is this their agenda? And doesn’t “crime” include the senseless gun violence we suffer in our schools and public venues? Is brute force the answer instead of governance or democratically led social reform?
This militarization is the influence of Miller and Vought on Trump. They prey on his desire for grsniosity and encourage him to attempt to normalize soldiers in the streets. We cannot accept this and have to peacefully (at a loud volume mind you) protest this at all levels.
I am not very familiar with how polling works. Do the polls from news sources ever ask hypotheticals like, "Would you approve other candidates like Joe Biden or Gavin Newsom taking over the local police department?"
I guess my question really is are people ever forced to reflect on their partisanship in polls? Thank you for the work you do!
I tend to skip articles that talk about the horrible crime problem, but fail to point out that crime is at a year low. The false narrative is way too pervasive in the US and has to be refuted, especially by someone who specializes in data.
Do you have the NORC poll broken out by race? Regarding Gallogly's point about positive marks for using the military to assist local police, I would love to see a breakdown by race on that.
Given that polls ask for opinions on crime "in your community", why don't they ever ask if people would approve of the federal government taking over the police force in their community?
And what the neck is NORC doing to weight results? Or has something changed in their methodology? Their results seem to be increasingly skewed on hot button topics?
Positive marks for using the military and national guard to assist local police.
Democrats have work to do to change this opinion.
I think it starts by emphasizing the local community policing and violence prevention actions already taken and the results produced so far. As Elliot noted, not just in comparison to last year or two years ago, but also things like Chicago had the fewest April murders in 2025 than any April since 1962.
It also requires by telling positive stories about city neighborhoods, even the ones with the most crime. It’s harder to mentally block an area as crime ridden or dangerous when you have been also hearing about summer festivals, new community centers & business openings, farmers’ markets, renovations of historic buildings.
I think that by now we established that the majority of American voters are morons. They don't really understand the reality, have trouble dealing with facts and figures, but by Jove they have strong opinions about everything, so strong, in fact that they can be swayed immediately by other morons on Tik Tok. Goodbye america, it was nice while it lasted.
Don't forget Fox news and "truth" social, and all of the lies coming out of the trump admin. daily.
I think the "left realist" school of criminology, which had a following particularly in Britain in the '80s and early '90s, offers a promising approach to these issues for Democrats. The tenets can be summarized as:
1. Crime is a real problem, particularly for working-class people who suffer disproportionately from street crime.
2. Progressives need a credible approach to crime control in order to prevent the right from owning the issue. They need to propose practical solutions for law and order issues.
3. There's a need to achieve a higher level of cooperation between police and public. This is best achieved through increasing local, democratic oversight of the police.
I think the US has a particular set of cultural issues that Britain avoids. We have a much stronger libertarian streak, that cuts across both left and right. We saw a lot of abolitionist talk in 2020, a position I believe is conservative, despite it's left coding. That makes it really hard to come up with a liberal/left anti crime agenda (I say that as someone who thinks the case for rethinking the role of policing is long overdue)
Crime? Cutbacks to all federal programs and fund billions in a domestic police force will see spikes in crime or is this their agenda? And doesn’t “crime” include the senseless gun violence we suffer in our schools and public venues? Is brute force the answer instead of governance or democratically led social reform?
This militarization is the influence of Miller and Vought on Trump. They prey on his desire for grsniosity and encourage him to attempt to normalize soldiers in the streets. We cannot accept this and have to peacefully (at a loud volume mind you) protest this at all levels.
I appreciate the information you share so much.
I am not very familiar with how polling works. Do the polls from news sources ever ask hypotheticals like, "Would you approve other candidates like Joe Biden or Gavin Newsom taking over the local police department?"
I guess my question really is are people ever forced to reflect on their partisanship in polls? Thank you for the work you do!