What happened in New Hampshire
Reading the tea leaves—and the writing on the wall
Good early, early morning y’all!
New Hampshirites has cast their votes for the 2020 Democratic nomination and the results are in! Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg performed as expected, scoring first and second place, and Amy Klobuchar has defied expectations and come in a close third. Elizabeth Warren a Joe Biden both finished a disappointing fourth and fifth, respectively.
I am a tired, sleepy, hungry mess but want to share with you a few things I’m taking away from tonight. This post is half words, half tweets, and half hot chocolate that I’m having way too close to bedtime. Wait, that adds up to 1.5/1! Oh well! Ready set go!
1. Bernie isn’t expanding his base
I wrote last week about Bernie’s base problem, expanding on some other work I’ve done this primary season that shows a low ceiling in support for the Vermont senator. Tonight, we saw that he performed pretty much as expected, based on the relationship between demographics and the share of the vote he won in Iowa last week.
