What makes a model good? 📊 August 9, 2020

A follow-up to some tweets on how we train and test statistical models

One way to make a model more uncertain is to use a statistical distribution with fat tails. But that’s a little demeaning—the Cauchy prefers to be called “big-boned.” And this is my weekly newsletter.

I’m G. Elliott Morris, a data journalist and political analyst who mostly covers polls, elections, and political science. As always, I invite you to drop me a line (or just respond to this email). Please hit the ❤️ below the title if you like what you’re reading; it’s our little trick to sway Substack’s curation algorithm. If you want more content, I publish subscriber-only posts 1-2x a week.