Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
When models break down

When models break down

Why Helmut Norpoth’s election forecast is so fraught with errors

G. Elliott Morris's avatar
G. Elliott Morris
Jul 10, 2020
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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
When models break down
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Confirmation bias is a hell of a phenomenon. This search for confirmatory evidence—or even the tendency to warp facts into confirmatory evidence—is even stronger when one has staked her professional reputation on the high-profile successes (and failures) of their work. And confirmation bias is the best explanation I can think of to explain why Helmut No…

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