Would young Americans really vote for Trump today?
Why I’m skeptical of some puzzling polls
Originally I was not going to soft-publish a blog post today. My wife and I both have somewhat serious cases of covid and I’d rather try to sleep than push out a few hundred to a thousand words about polls or the news. But, after stomaching a real meal and taking an ungodly dose of cold medicine, I have some energy. I also got name-dropped in an article today and wanted to respond.
Longtime columnist for New York Magazine Jonathan Chait writes in his article “Are Young People Actually Progressive?” that I have played a part in peddling some bad assumptions that are putting the Democratic party “in peril”:
For the past two decades, young people were widely assumed to have an ironclad loyalty to the Democratic Party. Democrats believed this, as did Republicans and journalists. So deeply ingrained was this belief that when polls began to show President Bidenlosing to Donald Trump in the 2024 race, critics sometimes disregarded them on the grounds tha…
