A special Strength In Numbers/Verasight flash poll finds majorities oppose deploying ICE to airports, blame Trump for disruptions, and overwhelmingly oppose sending ground troops to Iran
I just asked Dan Pfeiffer to write about this in his Message Box Substack. He's got long experience as a Dem operative (Obama administration) and he's one of the principals on Pod Save America. My amateur take is that it has much to do with the failures of the Democratic Party apparatus at the national level and in some states (like mine: Massachusetts). What I hear from friends and contacts around the country is that the Democratic-voting base is energized but the party leadership often (to put it politely) sluggish.
The fact that our president is desperately trying to suppress the vote in the mid-terms with his SAVE act tells you everything you need to know about his own level of fear that he's going to lose the House and possibly even the Senate.
Well as a non-professional in the polling arena, polling relationships to outcomes matters to me and my life. If the observation that the generic ballot seems less relevant to outcomes than polls on specific candidates or issues is objectionable then perhaps I should leave the site.
Midterms coming up in 8 months, not 20 (thankfully!) Make sure to attend the No Kings rally near you and bring friends.
When might you write on the Democrats' failure to gain ground on the generic ballot despite all the Trump/GOP negativity you post about daily?
I just asked Dan Pfeiffer to write about this in his Message Box Substack. He's got long experience as a Dem operative (Obama administration) and he's one of the principals on Pod Save America. My amateur take is that it has much to do with the failures of the Democratic Party apparatus at the national level and in some states (like mine: Massachusetts). What I hear from friends and contacts around the country is that the Democratic-voting base is energized but the party leadership often (to put it politely) sluggish.
The fact that our president is desperately trying to suppress the vote in the mid-terms with his SAVE act tells you everything you need to know about his own level of fear that he's going to lose the House and possibly even the Senate.
It’s a good question. For now, this might be relevant: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/when-midterm-polls-matter?utm_source=publication-search
And yet in every election in the last 14 months, D candidates have outperformed the generic D polling. Maybe it’s of limited utility.
This is a polling site.
Well as a non-professional in the polling arena, polling relationships to outcomes matters to me and my life. If the observation that the generic ballot seems less relevant to outcomes than polls on specific candidates or issues is objectionable then perhaps I should leave the site.