12 Comments
User's avatar
Jeffrey Michals-Brown's avatar

I look in vain for the answer to the question you ask, what is the one demographic group that still supports Trump?

Gordon Nash's avatar

I love what you do but using Orange to symbolize being against Trump is perverse and anti-intuitive. Orange is the color people most often associate WITH Trump!

Bren's avatar

Great info! Im still worried that Republicans will never vote for a democratic. We really to have to be too big a group of voters to steel out votes away

Robert Betker's avatar

Unfortunately, my PUMA is still one of the ones where he has a positive rating. At least, we don't see as many TRUMP signs around as there were 18 months ago.

Sharon Zandman-Zeman's avatar

How is polling done these days with so few people having land lines and area codes don't correspond to where a person lives? People don't answer their phones if it comes up unknown number. I live in Alaska where I think polling is particularly challenging; with few people inaccurate polling can really skew results. Thanks.

Cayce Jones's avatar

Ron Brownstein says 90% of voters choose midterm candidates by whether they approve of the incumbent President. Your approval numbers by state may predict several of the Senate race outcomes, if that premise holds up. The Economist/YouGov approval ratings by state are a little higher, but similar. From Trump's approval polling, looks like six seats could flip to Dems, and maybe even 3 more.

Martha Howell's avatar

Well, your results saved Natalie a lot of printing time!

David P. Kendrick's avatar

Land doesn’t vote, but land gets a vote, depending on state and congressional borders. How many of those orange votes amount to piling on?

Don K's avatar

Very interesting. I have some references about the possibility of flipping some state legislatures this fall if the Dems show up. Any thoughts?

Erin's avatar

This looks like Ohio and Pennsylvania have higher trump approval than Texas.

Terrence W. Tilley's avatar

Who benefits from all this data and how do they benefit, especially if voters are not strongly moved by particular political ideologies?

Dennis Ryan's avatar

“Lying pollster’s lying polls” - now acknowledged a thing. Applause for leaning in, GEM! So valuable and coherent - often too modest as well.