I wanted to note the charts you had in your recent post showing that the GOP spoke about LGBT and trans issues at a far greater rate than Dems. It has long been my feeling that Dems have allowed themselves to be branded by the negative framing from the GOP on these issues. What is the best approach to combat this framing?
Related to this issue, I have a copy of the October 2022 Decision Magazine published by Billy Graham Evangelistic Association. In it there is an Election Guide with a section comparing the Democratic and Republican party platforms and policies on six key issues, each with a relevant Bible quote. The six issues are Life, Federal Spending, Marriage, Gender, Religious Liberty, and Education/Parental Rights. Looking at this, it is not hard to see who is the group playing identity politics and from whence the culture war cometh.
Christian Nationalism has significant overlap with Evangelical Christianity along with a healthy dose of far right conservative Catholicism. I feel that Dems need to frame a fight against Christian Nationalism, not so much to win over Christian Nationalists but to let non-nationalist Christians, Jews, Muslims etc know that the Dems are stalwart defenders of THEIR religious liberty. Again, I'd like to know your thoughts?
Much has been made of the recent so-called "latinexodus" from Trump in polling and some special elections. Do you believe this is happening? What does 2026 look like if latino voters abandon trump at the rates we're seeing in approval polls?
What will your new Cost of Ruling Index measure, and what would it mean for the incumbent party if both it and the Economic Index are in negative territory?
Ten, 20 years ago, in general, younger voters leaned heavily Democratic. In the last couple of years, there’s been some shifting. What do you think might be driving that shift?
"
"Before, being on the left was more edgy. Being on the right now, it’s more edgy. Most people grew up with Obama. Maybe they feel like he just didn’t live up to his promise. And people want to try something on the other side."
Data is not the plural of anecdote, but to what extent does this highlight a weakness with the Democratic party? There has been a push by consultants and other organizations to train Democratic messaging on the persuadable voters of swing states as opposed to their base (I'm thinking of Harry Reid's former CoS but there are many others). Is there any polling/data which evaluates whether voters respond more to an assertive vision vs. an everyone's best friend approach to politics?
Dems just seem cosy old farts in the main with the rest being too far left or too wokist. Get in contact with ordinary people daily lives take your suits off and stop preaching from the high ground of various hills. Show you are down and dirty in the dudu of daily misery. Walk the walk on the street where the orcs of ICE roam free: no more preaching from oak panelled bunkers.
We see all the national level polling for Trump's approval but I remember in the past during presidential elections there were cases where state level polls were better. Is state level polling showing the same level of Trump approval as national averages?
I don't see many polls on science and scientists and how they are faring in schools, companies and, of course, the federal government in the new administration. Also what are the public's opinion about what is happening and the fate of science in the U.S.
The basis of all this is, of course, psychology. Therefore, a golden oldie, but a very insightful one: 'If Donald Trump was an animal / creature, what kind of animal / creature would you associate with him?'
Questions: (1) is there a way to withhold paying federal taxes temporarily? And obviously save it for tax day! California fined me for not having my deductions right in 2024.
(2) I get so many poll requests that are obviously biased. Is there a particular one that is worth participating in or one(s) I should avoid? I want my voice heard honestly and some of the questions appear to be misleading or confusing.
I wanted to note the charts you had in your recent post showing that the GOP spoke about LGBT and trans issues at a far greater rate than Dems. It has long been my feeling that Dems have allowed themselves to be branded by the negative framing from the GOP on these issues. What is the best approach to combat this framing?
Related to this issue, I have a copy of the October 2022 Decision Magazine published by Billy Graham Evangelistic Association. In it there is an Election Guide with a section comparing the Democratic and Republican party platforms and policies on six key issues, each with a relevant Bible quote. The six issues are Life, Federal Spending, Marriage, Gender, Religious Liberty, and Education/Parental Rights. Looking at this, it is not hard to see who is the group playing identity politics and from whence the culture war cometh.
Christian Nationalism has significant overlap with Evangelical Christianity along with a healthy dose of far right conservative Catholicism. I feel that Dems need to frame a fight against Christian Nationalism, not so much to win over Christian Nationalists but to let non-nationalist Christians, Jews, Muslims etc know that the Dems are stalwart defenders of THEIR religious liberty. Again, I'd like to know your thoughts?
What’s your tea leaves reading on the NJ governor race? (Appears to be narrowing)?
Much has been made of the recent so-called "latinexodus" from Trump in polling and some special elections. Do you believe this is happening? What does 2026 look like if latino voters abandon trump at the rates we're seeing in approval polls?
What will your new Cost of Ruling Index measure, and what would it mean for the incumbent party if both it and the Economic Index are in negative territory?
The NYTimes recently had a focus group with young Trumpers: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/09/25/opinion/focus-group-disapproving-trump-voters.html?unlocked_article_code=1.ok8.bGQM.izd2tcGZox30&smid=nytcore-android-share. Gift link I hope. I find this exchange illuminating in particular:
"
Ten, 20 years ago, in general, younger voters leaned heavily Democratic. In the last couple of years, there’s been some shifting. What do you think might be driving that shift?
"
"Before, being on the left was more edgy. Being on the right now, it’s more edgy. Most people grew up with Obama. Maybe they feel like he just didn’t live up to his promise. And people want to try something on the other side."
Data is not the plural of anecdote, but to what extent does this highlight a weakness with the Democratic party? There has been a push by consultants and other organizations to train Democratic messaging on the persuadable voters of swing states as opposed to their base (I'm thinking of Harry Reid's former CoS but there are many others). Is there any polling/data which evaluates whether voters respond more to an assertive vision vs. an everyone's best friend approach to politics?
Dems just seem cosy old farts in the main with the rest being too far left or too wokist. Get in contact with ordinary people daily lives take your suits off and stop preaching from the high ground of various hills. Show you are down and dirty in the dudu of daily misery. Walk the walk on the street where the orcs of ICE roam free: no more preaching from oak panelled bunkers.
Is there any way to measure the impact of the No Kings rallies on public opinion that could influence the 2026 elections?
We see all the national level polling for Trump's approval but I remember in the past during presidential elections there were cases where state level polls were better. Is state level polling showing the same level of Trump approval as national averages?
I don't see many polls on science and scientists and how they are faring in schools, companies and, of course, the federal government in the new administration. Also what are the public's opinion about what is happening and the fate of science in the U.S.
The basis of all this is, of course, psychology. Therefore, a golden oldie, but a very insightful one: 'If Donald Trump was an animal / creature, what kind of animal / creature would you associate with him?'
Questions: (1) is there a way to withhold paying federal taxes temporarily? And obviously save it for tax day! California fined me for not having my deductions right in 2024.
(2) I get so many poll requests that are obviously biased. Is there a particular one that is worth participating in or one(s) I should avoid? I want my voice heard honestly and some of the questions appear to be misleading or confusing.
I would love to know which pollsters are soliciting you, and by which modes!
Do you know where the are any local gathering
October 18 King rally is for Massachusetts (central mass) not Boston
Look up no kings rally and there will be a map. 50501.com (or .org?) Also has maps of all the protests, even the smaller ones.
https://www.fiftyfifty.one/