No roundup post today; I’m wrangling our poll data
Dear readers,
There will be no weekly roundup post today as I’m a bit behind on putting together the report for our September Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll, and want to get it out on time Tuesday.
The poll has the usual tracking questions — Trump approval, politician and party favorability ratings, generic ballot, and issue approval — plus questions on Trump’s tariffs, the economy, and what voters want to happen in the shutdown fight (plus who they’ll blame if no bill is passed by Sept. 30). We were interviewing voters right after Charlie Kirk’s death and while ABC fired Jimmy Kimmel, so there is the potential for a few event studies, too.
As is customary when taking a day off, here is a picture from the garden (picture credit to my brother):
I’ll back in your inboxes on Tuesday (if not before. I stumbled across a few thought-provoking pieces of data/commentary last week that may be worth sharing in a mini-roundup or even a standalone post).
In the meantime you can read my three posts from last week here, if you missed them:
Thanks for reading and supporting,
Elliott
I have seen some random stories that a scary number of people are no longer having their children receive standard vaccinations. I was unsure about where their numbers come from. Could you put this on your list of trends that you might investigate numerically?
P.S. Lovely flowers in the garden.
My guess is that the house retirements will increase exponentially until January with Rs at a 3 to 1 rate? That’s obviously a generous rate but it would not be an exaggeration if at least 30 of them say bye bye cause it’s just not worth it in this battleground?Many will still be safe R seats but a 20,000 win in 2024 may no longer be predictive of repetition in 2026? What do you think?