Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

The numbers are in: Democrats are fired up

A deep dive into two recent special elections in Florida shows the #Resistance is back and stronger than ever

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Jesse Richardson and G. Elliott Morris
Jul 03, 2025
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A quick editor’s note:

Today’s post is written by Jesse Richardson. Jesse is a political data analyst, election forecaster, and fellow Substack writer with whom I have worked several times in the past few years. This analysis is a Jesse classic: a deep dive into hard data to answer important questions about recent trends, in a way nobody else is. This post looks at official turnout data to measure enthusiasm levels among voters in two April special elections in Florida. It’s the latest in a trio of posts about Democrats doing very well in specials — better even than in 2018.

I’m happy to be publishing this article by Jesse for two reasons: first, it’s a very smart analysis and executed well (I wish I had thought of it!); and second, because this is a big step in growing Strength In Numbers into a fully fledged outlet for data-driven political analysis. I’m hoping to platform more smart, independent data analysts as the business grows and matures. More on that after the article.

Here’s Je…

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Jesse Richardson
Political forecaster, AI safety advocate, land tax guy
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