Sorry, but I think what your argument shows is that a Dem will lose only narrowly in TX in very good Dem years, a la O’Rourke in 2018. I think the GOP is going to have to throw a ton of $$ at what should be a safe seat for them, and that’s helpful, but I’m betting Paxton pulls out a narrow victory. He will be a truly appalling senator, and will spend most of his time there trying to position himself as Trump’s successor.
1) What percentage of eligible Hispanics voted in 2024 in Texas and what percentage does the data indicate most probably will vote in November?
2) What was the percentage of the Black vote in Texas in 2024 and what percentage of Black voters does the data indicate most probably will vote in November considering the overall motivation of Black voters all across the South?
Sorry, but I think what your argument shows is that a Dem will lose only narrowly in TX in very good Dem years, a la O’Rourke in 2018. I think the GOP is going to have to throw a ton of $$ at what should be a safe seat for them, and that’s helpful, but I’m betting Paxton pulls out a narrow victory. He will be a truly appalling senator, and will spend most of his time there trying to position himself as Trump’s successor.
1) What percentage of eligible Hispanics voted in 2024 in Texas and what percentage does the data indicate most probably will vote in November?
2) What was the percentage of the Black vote in Texas in 2024 and what percentage of Black voters does the data indicate most probably will vote in November considering the overall motivation of Black voters all across the South?
Many thanks
I’m glad you decided to weigh in tonight, and I’m glad Texas gets to claim you! You’ll let us know when the little one arrives, won’t you?
"I'll go boldly out on a limb and say it's a toss up. " You are definitely being you!
Ha! Well, when Cook is at Lean Republican, that is being quite bold!
But figure into it that the voters will have six more months to get angrier at Trump…