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More evidence that a large share of "moderates" are non-ideologues
A reader replicated my analysis of political ideology using alternative data
11 hrs ago
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G. Elliott Morris
106
17
24
The Texas special election and 2026 political environment
Recapping Taylor Rehmet’s win in Texas last Saturday, immigration polling, and what's in store for 2026
Feb 2
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G. Elliott Morris
and
Michael Podhorzer
8
2
57:40
Democrats hit historic high in Fox News Poll as GOP loses ground on key issues
Plus: Trump's approval among independents falls to a record low, and the issue landscape shifts ahead of 2026. Your weekly political data roundup for…
Feb 1
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G. Elliott Morris
226
14
49
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing
A nerdy look at precinct-level data from the TX SD-9 special election
Feb 1
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G. Elliott Morris
507
25
116
January 2026
Americans voted for Trump, but never supported Trumpism
Donald Trump's policies have always been less popular than his promises
Jan 30
•
G. Elliott Morris
234
17
65
The ICE shootings are a tipping point
Donald Trump's approval on immigration has collapsed 17 points since taking office, and support for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement has…
Jan 27
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G. Elliott Morris
446
34
130
New Abolish ICE polling and the end of the Trump “realignment”
Your weekly political data roundup for January 25, 2026.
Jan 25
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G. Elliott Morris
336
24
90
The consent of the governed has been withdrawn
One year into his second term, Trump has suffered the largest approval collapse of any modern president (except the one who resigned in disgrace). He is…
Jan 23
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G. Elliott Morris
341
15
91
Trump’s terrible polls, one year in
New polling shows the president losing voters on his signature issues. What that looks like at the local level, and what it means for 2026
Jan 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
and
David Nir
171
8
25
49:41
A very detailed map of Trump's job approval
Explore our new interactive map of Trump's job approval, powered by 12,000 survey interviews conducted in 2025 and 2026
Jan 22
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G. Elliott Morris
324
26
68
New poll: Trump loses ground on immigration; Dems lead 2026 House vote by 8 points
The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats start 2026 with their biggest lead yet on the 2026 House vote, while Trump approval sinks on…
Jan 21
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G. Elliott Morris
180
19
39
Americans say Trump has the wrong priorities
Your weekly political data roundup for January 18, 2026
Jan 18
•
G. Elliott Morris
184
30
51
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