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Shutdowns are dumb and voters hate them | Weekly roundup for October 19, 2025
If you’re going to shut down the government, do it because you think it's worth it. Also this week: The VRA, gerrymandering and the midterms; party…
17 hrs ago
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G. Elliott Morris
73
9
Second "No Kings Day" protests the largest single-day political protest ever*, with 5.2-8.2 million participants
Here are the initial results from our crowdsourced crowd-counting estimates
Oct 19
•
G. Elliott Morris
333
18
Democrats up 6, 10 points in new averages of New Jersey and Virginia governor polls
Aggregators take note: We found that many polls in these contests are sponsored by or affiliated with GOP campaigns, increasing potential bias of…
Oct 17
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G. Elliott Morris
152
6
Voters say Republicans aren't focusing enough on pocketbook issues
59% view the GOP as "too extreme," compared to 46% who say the same for Democrats
Oct 14
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G. Elliott Morris
92
7
Is Trump “doing what he promised”? | Weekly roundup for October 12, 2025
And what does that even mean? Also this week: Shutdown polls; Left-wing populism; Low favorability ratings for all U.S. leaders; Judges' concerns about…
Oct 12
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G. Elliott Morris
125
23
Will Democrats sweep Virginia's 2025 elections?
A conversation with forecaster and Virginia state politics expert Chaz Nuttycombe
Oct 11
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G. Elliott Morris
and
State Navigate
81
52:37
A majority of Americans oppose Trump sending the National Guard to Democratic-run cities
The president is defying the will of the people, federal judges, and the Constitution
Oct 10
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G. Elliott Morris
188
15
Announcing a new polling and elections data business (and new site for my polling averages)
FiftyPlusOne will publish polling averages and election forecasts, and make bespoke data collection available to individuals and business clients
Oct 9
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G. Elliott Morris
123
24
Why most polls overstate support for political violence
Misperceptions about the popularity of violence increase public support for it — but you can help change that.
Oct 7
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G. Elliott Morris
163
7
All the polls on the government shutdown so far | Weekly roundup for October 5, 2025
Also this week: Dems lead in Virginia election polling; economic sentiment is down; people are turning against sports betting; + more!
Oct 5
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G. Elliott Morris
175
14
Trump is racing against time
The president's approval rating is closer to Nicolás Maduro's than Vladimir Putin’s
Oct 3
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G. Elliott Morris
353
52
Experts now rate the U.S. as a "mixed" or "illiberal" democracy
Experts say political violence, Trump's attacks against non-partisan agencies and institutions, and partisan gerrymandering are their top concerns
Oct 1
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G. Elliott Morris
195
24
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