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Low-engagement voters are swinging hard toward Democrats
Low-engagement voters handed Trump the 2024 election. Now they support Democrats for Congress
Oct 30
•
G. Elliott Morris
243
5
53
Ask us anything about the midterms!
A mailbag episode about early voting numbers, the almost-final polls in key Senate races, and everything else you could ever want to know about the 2026…
Oct 29
•
G. Elliott Morris
and
David Nir
145
2
16
1:01:11
Every way the polls could be wrong, in one chart
You should expect a small amount of polling error — but nobody can tell you in which direction
Oct 29
•
G. Elliott Morris
149
10
26
Data Lab: Polls may have too few Trump voters from red America
After weighting, our poll still has twice as many Trump voters from the bluest zip codes as it should. They're far likelier than other Trump voters to…
Oct 28
•
G. Elliott Morris
72
18
13
Who has already voted for the 2026 midterms? Who’s undecided? How might they vote?
Why undecided voters probably won’t care about Trump’s closing message, and an early voting update. Your weekly political data roundup for October 25…
Oct 25
•
G. Elliott Morris
219
26
40
Poll: Low-information voters have turned hardest against Trump and the GOP
Trump voters who can't answer two basic questions about politics are three times as likely as other Trump voters to back Democrats for the House. This…
Oct 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
292
19
69
How FiftyPlusOne busted a fake pollster
Elliott and David talk to Mary Radcliffe at FiftyPlusOne about our investigation into Wedgewood Polls and SoCal Strategies
Oct 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
,
David Nir
, and
Mary Radcliffe
147
1
29
53:30
These 2024 Trump voters no longer admit to voting for him
Poll respondents who change their recalled vote from Trump to Harris (or not voting) largely disapprove of Trump — and that could be skewing polls
Oct 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
165
18
25
Poll: Democrats post their biggest generic-ballot lead yet, two weeks out
Democrats lead by 10 among registered voters and 12 among likely voters, both highs for our poll, as Trump sets new lows on immigration and border…
Oct 21
•
G. Elliott Morris
181
11
31
Republicans are skipping early voting. Will they show up on Election Day?
In North Carolina, Democrats have cast 70% of the two parties' early ballots, the most lopsided split at this point since at least 2006.
Oct 20
•
G. Elliott Morris
224
12
39
Deep Dive episode: You need to know about these changes to the federal statistical system, with Chris Jackson
Jackson, a pollster and champion of data at SSRS, explains what our federal statistical system is, why it’s is valuable, why you should care about…
Oct 19
•
G. Elliott Morris
119
4
33
1:00:49
In closing weeks, Republicans go on defense
Plus, Latinos have moved left since 2024 at 2x the rate of the average voter. Your weekly political data roundup for October 18, 2026.
Oct 18
•
G. Elliott Morris
193
22
34
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