Archive - Strength In Numbers

Is Texas actually a blue state?

Party registration statistics show there are more Democrats in Texas than Republicans... or do they?

15 hrs ago •

G. Elliott Morris

Democrats flip Trump +11 seat in Iowa special election

Is affordability the Democratic Party's secret weapon in 2026?

Aug 27 •

G. Elliott Morris

Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot by 8; voters back fair maps and oppose Trump's tariffs

Results from the August Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll

Aug 26 •

G. Elliott Morris

The most common political party for new voters is no party at all | Weekly roundup for August 24, 2025

Also this week: Voters oppose Trump's federalized police crackdowns; Musk backs off his third-party threats; Americans worry about democracy; and more

Aug 24

Republicans are trying to cheat their way to a House victory. Will it work?

I guesstimate how new congressional maps in TX and CA, plus likely gerrymanders in several other states, will impact Democrats in the 2026 midterms

Aug 22 •

G. Elliott Morris

Data over dogma: A reply to Matt Yglesias

Further thoughts and data on the declining electoral benefit to ideological moderation.

Aug 19 •

G. Elliott Morris

Pew: Trump has lost 30% of his young 2024 voters | Weekly roundup for August 17, 2025

Plus: Sherrod Brown jumps into the Ohio Senate race; interviews with working-class voters; the BLS takeover; and more.

Aug 17 •

G. Elliott Morris

Trump is as unpopular on inflation as Biden was in 2022

The president’s approval rating on prices and the economy is approaching Joe Biden’s low point during peak inflation

Aug 15 •

G. Elliott Morris

Moderation is not a silver bullet

In 2024, moderate candidates for the U.S. House barely outperformed the average partisan

Aug 13 •

G. Elliott Morris

The U.S. House candidates who moved the needle in 2024

Announcing our new measure of candidate quality, the Wins Above Replacement Probability (WARP)

Aug 12 •

G. Elliott Morris

and

Gerrymandering is unpopular. Shocker! | Weekly roundup for August 10, 2025

This week in political data: When life gives you lemons? Plus: Latinos por Trump es no más, UMass on Trump regret, and about that Epstein polling.

Aug 10 •

G. Elliott Morris

Trump is underwater on trade in 40 states

According to analysis of issue approval data in Strength In Numbers/Verasight polls

Aug 8 •

G. Elliott Morris

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