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House retirements forecast Democratic gains in 2026
17 Republican and 11 Democratic U.S. House members have said they won't run for re-election next year
Sep 16
•
G. Elliott Morris
52
14
People are more likely to support partisan violence when they think the other party does too | Weekly roundup for September 14, 2025
Also this week: Trump ties Biden low on inflation/the economy; Mamdani up big in New York City; independent redistricting is an 80-20 issue. + more!
Sep 14
76
17
"America’s Reichstag fire"
Political violence remains rare, but leaders can help prevent tragedy by condemning hate and defending democratic values
Sep 12
•
G. Elliott Morris
173
14
Political Trends of 2025
Watch now (34 mins) | A recording from G. Elliott Morris and The New Republic's live video
Sep 10
•
G. Elliott Morris
,
The New Republic
, and
Amanda Litman
41
3
34:43
How Democrats can beat Trump on the economy
The president is weak on jobs and inflation, which Democrats can use to restore their working-class image
Sep 9
•
G. Elliott Morris
72
13
Six months of Strength In Numbers
An update on the newsletter business and other projects
Sep 7
•
G. Elliott Morris
164
69
Trump faces a large intensity gap in his approval rating
Nearly a majority of Americans strongly disapprove of the job he's doing as president. That is starting to have political costs
Sep 5
•
G. Elliott Morris
224
28
AI can't replace polling
The use of AI models to mimic human respondents betrays the public, and provides inaccurate answers to key questions
Sep 2
•
G. Elliott Morris
67
14
August 2025
Support for partisan gerrymandering is growing | Weekly roundup for August 31, 2025
Also this week: Demographic math favors Mamdani in New York; Election denier appointed head of election integrity at Homeland Security; Forecasting…
Aug 31
67
22
Voters say crime is a problem, but don't approve of Trump's response
Crime is the latest issue where the president has moved too far to the right relative to the public's ideal policy
Aug 29
•
G. Elliott Morris
58
15
Is Texas actually a blue state?
Party registration statistics show there are more Democrats in Texas than Republicans... or do they?
Aug 28
•
G. Elliott Morris
65
7
Democrats flip Trump +11 seat in Iowa special election
Is affordability the Democratic Party's secret weapon in 2026?
Aug 27
•
G. Elliott Morris
75
4
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