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Democrats lead by 13 points on trust to handle voters' top problems
This poll question has predicted all but one election since 1948. It suggests Democrats could win by 8-12 points in November.
Jun 16
•
G. Elliott Morris
196
9
43
Democratic voters want the party to be more moderate — and more socialist?
The trouble with polling about ideological labels
Jun 12
•
G. Elliott Morris
214
30
57
Yes, Americans are polarized. But that doesn't prevent wave elections
A popular measure of intra-party loyalty in polls artificially inflates electoral stability and ignores the crucial role that turnout plays in close…
Jun 9
•
G. Elliott Morris
157
17
26
Reduced schedule for paternity leave
Article frequency will drop to 1x a week for 6-8 weeks, but our June and July polls will come out as normal!
Jun 5
•
G. Elliott Morris
307
145
14
How many Trump voters does James Talarico need in order to win the Texas U.S. Senate race?
The math isn't as hard as people think. Democrats need to flip about 1 in 15 Republicans — turnout and independents do the rest.
Jun 2
•
G. Elliott Morris
231
43
43
May 2026
Why so much election analysis is basically useless
A race decided by a point and a half can be blamed on almost anything — and that severely limits what we can learn for the future
May 29
•
G. Elliott Morris
230
41
58
Americans blame Trump for the cost-of-living crisis. Here's what they want done about it.
A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds 58% of Americans say Trump has made the economy worse — and voters are blaming him, not Biden, for the…
May 27
•
G. Elliott Morris
200
10
53
The Texas Senate election is a tossup
Democratic candidate James Talarico has very good shot against Ken Paxton in the Lone Star State
May 27
•
G. Elliott Morris
276
15
54
Poll: Trump’s approval rating hits another low on prices as Democrats hit +8 on generic ballot
Our new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Trump's job approval on prices falling to -47, and a record 39% of Americans naming prices as the…
May 26
•
G. Elliott Morris
198
7
43
The real reason Democrats lost in 2024
The DNC "autopsy" omits the biggest reason Democrats lost in 2024. In doing so, it fails to prepare the party for the future
May 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
512
52
169
Americans oppose spending $1 billion on White House ballroom 68% to 21%
A preview from our May Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
May 21
•
G. Elliott Morris
214
8
44
Independents and 2024 non-voters have swung back left
The big story in the new NYT/Siena poll isn't Trump's 37% approval (although that's very bad) — it's a 24-point swing among persuadable voters
May 19
•
G. Elliott Morris
225
28
50
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