Archive - Strength In Numbers

Public opinion on immigration is moving left | Weekly roundup for July 13, 2025

Last week in political data: Gallup immigration polling; Majority support for Mamdani's policies; First U.S. House midterms forecast; And what Trump's…

Jul 13 •

G. Elliott Morris

Who would vote for Elon Musk's America Party?

Crunching the numbers on the potential coalition for an anti-spending, anti-Trump, anti-Democrats, anti-Republicans political party... wait what?

Jul 11 •

G. Elliott Morris

What can Zohran Mamdani teach Democrats?

The self-proclaimed "democratic socialist" knows something about winning low-engagement and young voters

Jul 8 •

G. Elliott Morris

The most unpopular budget law ever? | Weekly roundup for July 6, 2025

Last week in political data: Work requirements don't work; The unpopularity of the GOP budget law; and Democrats winning back young voters

Jul 6 •

G. Elliott Morris

One Big Unpopular Bill

The Republican budget bill, which now heads to Trump's desk, will be the most unpopular law in at least 30 years

Jul 4 •

G. Elliott Morris

The numbers are in: Democrats are fired up

A deep dive into two recent special elections in Florida shows the #Resistance is back and stronger than ever

Jul 3 •

Jesse Richardson

and

G. Elliott Morris

How to rig a polling average

GOP-aligned pollsters are propping up Trump in polling averages that don't account for pollster "house effects." This risks misleading the public.

Jul 1 •

G. Elliott Morris

June 2025

Pew on non-voters | Weekly roundup for June 29, 2025

Last week in political data: Pew says non-voters leaned Trump in 2024; Polls on bombing Iran; Everyone missed the NYC mayor primary.

Jun 29 •

G. Elliott Morris

On Iran, a reminder that party trumps values

After Trump's Iran attack, MAGA voters are not isolationist anymore

Jun 27 •

G. Elliott Morris

Strength In Numbers Q&A for June 2025, part 2

Who supports bombing Iran now? How much do people know about politics? How should analysts update their priors?

Jun 25 •

G. Elliott Morris

Strength In Numbers Q&A for June 2025, part 1

Are right-wing pollsters biasing Trump approval averages? Should America switch to ranked-choice voting? And what's up with the Democratic Party brand?

Jun 24 •

G. Elliott Morris

Polls: Americans oppose U.S. bombing of Iran

One survey found only 16% of adults, and 19% of Trump voters, support the U.S. bombing Iran. 60% oppose.

Jun 22 •

G. Elliott Morris

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