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What the polls say about Trump's war against Iran
And why a Talarico-Paxton matchup in Texas might just be a tossup
52 mins ago
•
G. Elliott Morris
and
David Nir
29
49:51
Six data-driven reasons Texas could actually go blue in 2026
Democratic candidate James Talarico might be the best chance in recent history to flip a U.S. Senate seat Republicans have held for 65 years
Mar 4
•
G. Elliott Morris
290
25
57
How you word a poll question can have a large impact on results
Our new poll finds question wording can swing opinion by 20+ points on immigration, the budget, and transgender rights. That's a problem for people who…
Mar 3
•
G. Elliott Morris
165
42
46
Trump starts a war with Iran that few Americans support
Support for the U.S. attack starts at 34% - 44% Your weekly political data roundup for March 1, 2026.
Mar 1
•
G. Elliott Morris
238
4
70
February 2026
New poll: Trump's SOTU “pivot” to affordability didn't work
A poll conducted in the two days after Trump's State of the Union address reveals the public is still skeptical the president can deliver on…
Feb 27
•
G. Elliott Morris
196
2
39
New poll: Democrats' real problem isn't being too liberal — it's being seen as too weak
Americans, including swing voters, see the Republican Party as 20 points more extreme than Democrats — and the Democrats as weak and ineffective. So why…
Feb 27
•
G. Elliott Morris
211
47
82
Who’s really leading in the Texas Senate primaries?
This week's podcast: Primary polls are basically useless in Texas; Trump just posted his worst-ever numbers on immigration; and voters want Supreme…
Feb 26
•
G. Elliott Morris
and
David Nir
123
4
18
49:27
Two-thirds of Americans want term limits for Supreme Court justices
Our new poll finds majority support for structural reforms to the Supreme Court, Puerto Rico statehood, and limits on the pardon power
Feb 26
•
G. Elliott Morris
165
17
51
New poll: Voters would pause deportations to lower housing, food prices
Trump's State of the Union address was largely about crime and immigration. Our poll shows voters wanted to hear less about immigration policy and more…
Feb 25
•
G. Elliott Morris
166
5
45
Ahead of State of the Union, Trump's approval falls to new low of 37%
The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats leading on the generic ballot by 10 points among registered voters, and Trump approval on…
Feb 24
•
G. Elliott Morris
205
11
47
Political journalism needs fewer "takes" and more analytical legwork
Why I think what you’re getting with this newsletter is different, and why it matters right now
Feb 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
230
27
45
Trump decides he'll FAFO on Supreme Court tariff ruling
The tariff ruling let President Trump blame judges and walk away from an unpopular policy. Instead, he attacked his own justices and announced new…
Feb 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
277
16
75
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