Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Podcast
Premium
Projects
Polls
Data Lab
Data
Book
Contact
Archive
Newsletters
About
Premium
Latest
Top
Discussions
Why polls might be underestimating *Democrats*, not Republicans
Potential bias in how voters recall voting in 2024 costs Democrats about a point of support. Surveys of registered voters might also underestimate the…
Sep 15
•
G. Elliott Morris
165
9
28
The flawed thinking behind “Trumpapalooza”
The president thinks he can activate lower-turnout voters who like his agenda. But polls show his former supporters oppose his key policies, and don’t…
Sep 10
•
G. Elliott Morris
186
13
26
All polls are models now
Traditional polling is dead. Pollsters need to do a better job communicating about all the ways potential error enters their work.
Sep 9
•
G. Elliott Morris
141
9
36
What voters really mean when they say the Democrats should "fight" more
81% of Democrats say their party should focus on ending Trump's corruption, while 54% want it to prioritize affordability. In open-text response they…
Sep 1
•
G. Elliott Morris
202
47
55
Is Abdul El-Sayed going to lose Michigan?
The Democratic nominee is running behind expectations, and everyone thinks they know why. But it's early — and I think we all know a lot less than we…
Aug 18
•
G. Elliott Morris
184
113
35
Voters say the political system needs big changes — and that's driving Democratic gains for 2026
Among moderates and conservatives who say they want "major, disruptive change" in politics, Democrats lead the generic ballot by 50 points
Aug 11
•
G. Elliott Morris
135
20
33
What's behind Donald Trump's record-low approval rating?
The two groups of voters dragging the president’s approval down to new lows
Aug 4
•
G. Elliott Morris
196
16
38
Poll: These Americans say they’d be disenfranchised by Trump’s election law
Few Americans have heard a lot about the provisions of the SAVE Act. Support declines the more someone hears about it
Jul 24
•
G. Elliott Morris
345
18
130
Data Lab: Democrats' edge in midterms polling depends on how pollsters weight by party
What would our Strength In Numbers polling say if we weighted our samples by different targets for party identity?
Jul 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
30
2
4
Likely voters lean more Democratic for November's midterms, a change from past cycles
In every wave of our poll this year, screening for likely voters has nudged the congressional generic ballot a point or two bluer
Jul 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
203
9
45
Democrats lead by 26 points among “double haters” in the 2026 House midterms vote
One in five Americans rates both parties unfavorably. These voters lean Democratic and say Trump has hurt the economy
Jul 14
•
G. Elliott Morris
220
7
56
Why Democratic Socialists are suddenly running everywhere — and winning
It’s not because of ideology
Jul 7
•
G. Elliott Morris
217
55
39
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts
