Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

Home
Notes
Chat
Trump Approval + Generic Ball…
Premium
Our polling
Community
Book
Contact
Archive
Leaderboard
About

Premium

Commander in cheat
By firing non-partisan government statisticians and ordering the GOP to rig congressional maps, Trump makes loyalty his essential command
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
14
Texas Republicans are trying to cheat Democrats out of midterms victory
That, and other topics from the July 2025 Strength In Numbers reader Q&A
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
10
The Democratic image is underwater — but they're not losing
The party has a near-historically low favorability rating. This is mostly due to disaffection on the left, where voters still say they'll vote…
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
 and 
Mary Radcliffe
11
What midterm generic ballot polls tell us this early
There's a lot of predictive uncertainty. But the party in power reliably loses ground between this point in the cycle and Election Day.
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
12
What can Zohran Mamdani teach Democrats?
The self-proclaimed "democratic socialist" knows something about winning low-engagement and young voters
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
16
How to rig a polling average
GOP-aligned pollsters are propping up Trump in polling averages that don't account for pollster "house effects." This risks misleading the public.
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
11
Strength In Numbers Q&A for June 2025, part 2
Who supports bombing Iran now? How much do people know about politics? How should analysts update their priors?
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
3
Strength In Numbers Q&A for June 2025, part 1
Are right-wing pollsters biasing Trump approval averages? Should America switch to ranked-choice voting? And what's up with the Democratic Party brand?
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
4
"No Kings Day" protests turn out millions, rebuking Trump
Our unofficial estimate is that around 4-6 million people attended a protest event yesterday. Anti-Trump resistance is outpacing 2017.
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
37
Democrats won more special elections last night
In 2025, Democrats have been beating expectations pretty much everywhere — and it's not just because of turnout.
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
5
Why the LA protests might be bad for Trump
Polls show voters don't support the protesters, but are even more opposed to sending in the military
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
5
The economic vibes are very bad for Republicans
Why economic pessimism and social immobility may create a new era of anti-incumbent elections
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
7
© 2025 G. Elliott Morris
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture