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Strength In Numbers Q&A for June 2025, part 2

Who supports bombing Iran now? How much do people know about politics? How should analysts update their priors?

Jun 25 •

G. Elliott Morris

Strength In Numbers Q&A for June 2025, part 1

Are right-wing pollsters biasing Trump approval averages? Should America switch to ranked-choice voting? And what's up with the Democratic Party brand?

Jun 24 •

G. Elliott Morris

"No Kings Day" protests turn out millions, rebuking Trump

Our unofficial estimate is that around 4-6 million people attended a protest event yesterday. Anti-Trump resistance is outpacing 2017.

Jun 15 •

G. Elliott Morris

Democrats won more special elections last night

In 2025, Democrats have been beating expectations pretty much everywhere — and it's not just because of turnout.

Jun 11 •

G. Elliott Morris

Why the LA protests might be bad for Trump

Polls show voters don't support the protesters, but are even more opposed to sending in the military

Jun 10 •

G. Elliott Morris

The economic vibes are very bad for Republicans

Why economic pessimism and social immobility may create a new era of anti-incumbent elections

Jun 10 •

G. Elliott Morris

The Trump administration is trying to block politically inconvenient government data

Hands off the public's data!

Jun 4 •

G. Elliott Morris

Not all Trump voters "voted for this"

Trump’s policy agenda is very unpopular, including with many of his supporters. To win the next election, Democrats need to welcome regretful Trump…

Jun 2 •

G. Elliott Morris

How much should politicians (and pundits) follow the polls?

This is the wrong question.

May 27 •

G. Elliott Morris

Trump's job approval rating by state

At a -8 net approval rating nationally, the president is underwater in all the swing states

May 21 •

G. Elliott Morris

What makes the “best pollsters” of 2024 so accurate?

Primarily it’s a mix of experimentation and biased estimates that get lucky

May 20 •

G. Elliott Morris

If the economy recovers, when will morale improve?

New consumer sentiment data slides while market and tariff pressures ease

May 16 •

G. Elliott Morris

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