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Democrats won more special elections last night

In 2025, Democrats have been beating expectations pretty much everywhere — and it's not just because of turnout.

Jun 11 •

G. Elliott Morris

Why the LA protests might be bad for Trump

Polls show voters don't support the protesters, but are even more opposed to sending in the military

Jun 10 •

G. Elliott Morris

The economic vibes are very bad for Republicans

Why economic pessimism and social immobility may create a new era of anti-incumbent elections

Jun 10 •

G. Elliott Morris

The Trump administration is trying to block politically inconvenient government data

Hands off the public's data!

Jun 4 •

G. Elliott Morris

Not all Trump voters "voted for this"

Trump’s policy agenda is very unpopular, including with many of his supporters. To win the next election, Democrats need to welcome regretful Trump…

Jun 2 •

G. Elliott Morris

How much should politicians (and pundits) follow the polls?

This is the wrong question.

May 27 •

G. Elliott Morris

Trump's job approval rating by state

At a -8 net approval rating nationally, the president is underwater in all the swing states

May 21 •

G. Elliott Morris

What makes the “best pollsters” of 2024 so accurate?

Primarily it’s a mix of experimentation and biased estimates that get lucky

May 20 •

G. Elliott Morris

If the economy recovers, when will morale improve?

New consumer sentiment data slides while market and tariff pressures ease

May 16 •

G. Elliott Morris

Building a new home for data-driven political journalism

Independent, reader-funded media is the best way to safeguard unbiased, data-driven analysis for the public good. Become a member and support the…

May 12 •

G. Elliott Morris

How should the media cover Trump's $400 million plane from Qatar?

Partisanship makes it harder for the media to appear both factual and fair when covering Trump

May 11 •

G. Elliott Morris

Trump's immigration agenda is not popular

Polling shows most Americans oppose the details of enforcement and the president’s most extreme tactics

Apr 15 •

G. Elliott Morris

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