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What's behind Donald Trump's record-low approval rating?
The two groups of voters dragging the president’s approval down to new lows
Aug 4
•
G. Elliott Morris
183
16
36
Poll: These Americans say they’d be disenfranchised by Trump’s election law
Few Americans have heard a lot about the provisions of the SAVE Act. Support declines the more someone hears about it
Jul 24
•
G. Elliott Morris
345
18
130
Data Lab: Democrats' edge in midterms polling depends on how pollsters weight by party
What would our Strength In Numbers polling say if we weighted our samples by different targets for party identity?
Jul 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
26
1
4
Likely voters lean more Democratic for November's midterms, a change from past cycles
In every wave of our poll this year, screening for likely voters has nudged the congressional generic ballot a point or two bluer
Jul 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
202
9
45
Democrats lead by 26 points among “double haters” in the 2026 House midterms vote
One in five Americans rates both parties unfavorably. These voters lean Democratic and say Trump has hurt the economy
Jul 14
•
G. Elliott Morris
219
7
56
Why Democratic Socialists are suddenly running everywhere — and winning
It’s not because of ideology
Jul 7
•
G. Elliott Morris
216
55
39
Can Democrats outrun their party’s brand problem? I tested three proposed fixes
A new survey experiment finds Democrats outrun the party baseline by showing they’re independent of it — using issue positions, biography, or otherwise
Jun 30
•
G. Elliott Morris
146
31
28
Beware phantom poll swings (and how to spot them)
Democrats' lead on the House generic ballot "dropped" 1-2 points over the last month. It will likely go back up, but this is a good reminder that even…
Jun 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
127
7
24
Democrats lead by 13 points on trust to handle voters' top problems
This poll question has predicted all but one election since 1948. It suggests Democrats could win by 8-12 points in November.
Jun 16
•
G. Elliott Morris
212
9
43
Yes, Americans are polarized. But that doesn't prevent wave elections
A popular measure of intra-party loyalty in polls artificially inflates electoral stability and ignores the crucial role that turnout plays in close…
Jun 9
•
G. Elliott Morris
159
17
26
How many Trump voters does James Talarico need in order to win the Texas U.S. Senate race?
The math isn't as hard as people think. Democrats need to flip about 1 in 15 Republicans — turnout and independents do the rest.
Jun 2
•
G. Elliott Morris
232
43
43
Americans blame Trump for the cost-of-living crisis. Here's what they want done about it.
A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds 58% of Americans say Trump has made the economy worse — and voters are blaming him, not Biden, for the…
May 27
•
G. Elliott Morris
200
10
53
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