Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

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Yes, Americans are polarized. But that doesn't prevent wave elections
A popular measure of intra-party loyalty in polls artificially inflates electoral stability and ignores the crucial role that turnout plays in close…
 • G. Elliott Morris
Reduced schedule for paternity leave
Article frequency will drop to 1x a week for 6-8 weeks, but our June and July polls will come out as normal!
 • G. Elliott Morris
How many Trump voters does James Talarico need in order to win the Texas U.S. Senate race?
The math isn't as hard as people think. Democrats need to flip about 1 in 15 Republicans — turnout and independents do the rest.
 • G. Elliott Morris
Why so much election analysis is basically useless
A race decided by a point and a half can be blamed on almost anything — and that severely limits what we can learn for the future
 • G. Elliott Morris
Americans blame Trump for the cost-of-living crisis. Here's what they want done about it.
A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds 58% of Americans say Trump has made the economy worse — and voters are blaming him, not Biden, for the…
 • G. Elliott Morris
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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
Top posts
The Texas Senate election is a tossup
Democratic candidate James Talarico has very good shot against Ken Paxton in the Lone Star State
 • G. Elliott Morris
Poll: Trump’s approval rating hits another low on prices as Democrats hit +8 on generic ballot
Our new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Trump's job approval on prices falling to -47, and a record 39% of Americans naming prices as the…
 • G. Elliott Morris
The real reason Democrats lost in 2024
The DNC "autopsy" omits the biggest reason Democrats lost in 2024. In doing so, it fails to prepare the party for the future
 • G. Elliott Morris
Americans oppose spending $1 billion on White House ballroom 68% to 21%
A preview from our May Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
 • G. Elliott Morris
Independents and 2024 non-voters have swung back left
The big story in the new NYT/Siena poll isn't Trump's 37% approval (although that's very bad) — it's a 24-point swing among persuadable voters
 • G. Elliott Morris
Democracy and the midterms after the VRA
Two links for you this weekend
 • G. Elliott Morris
You can't gerrymander a bad approval rating
Trump's net approval is historically weak for this point in a presidency — and his approval on handling prices and the economy is even worse than Joe…
 • G. Elliott Morris
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Social Notes by Ryan Enos
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G. Elliott Morris
Yes, Americans are polarized. But that doesn't prevent wave elections
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Recent posts

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47:55
A reminder: Very few people support Donald Trump's presidency
Plus, polls show voters are increasingly worried about his mental and physical fitness for office
 • G. Elliott Morris and David Nir
1:07:40
Deep Dive episode: Democracy 2.0, with Lee Drutman
Tired of partisan gerrymandering and a two-party system that is unresponsive to the needs of everyday Americans? Have we got an idea for you!
 • G. Elliott Morris
This year’s U.S. House elections will be least competitive on record
In 1976, 101 U.S. House seats were structurally competitive. Under the new 2026 maps, that number could fall to 33 — and just 15 are true toss-ups
 • G. Elliott Morris
One year of Strength In Numbers!
Short reflections on the business so far and an update on what's to come this year
 • G. Elliott Morris
Democrats now have to win the House vote by 4 points due to Republican gerrymandering
A new analysis by Strength In Numbers reveals the impacts of mid-decade and post-VRA redistricting by Republicans, with the now-missing Democratic…
 • G. Elliott Morris
The simple statistical error Republican Supreme Court justices used to gut the VRA
The Court says vote dilution can be proven only after "controlling" racial polarization for partisan polarization. This is a nonsensical and impossible…
 • G. Elliott Morris
47:23
America's new redistricting doom loop
Welcome to the new era of "super-mandering"
 • G. Elliott Morris and David Nir
58:16
Deep Dive episode: Political scientists were right about Trump
A conversation with political scientist Seth Masket about Trump, the Constitution, the limits of Bidenomics as a political strategy, and why…
 • G. Elliott Morris and Seth Masket

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Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
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