Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

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You should quit social media for good
Platforms optimized for engagement warp our politics, erode attention, and harm our wellbeing. Here’s how I minimize time on the (anti‑)social web.
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G. Elliott Morris
Donald Trump is Joe Biden now
The president's numbers on prices are where Biden's were during peak inflation in 2022-23.
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G. Elliott Morris
The Mamdani youthquake in New York City | Weekly roundup for November 9, 2025
The Mayor-elect drove historic turnout and a historically young electorate. Plus: Democrats made inroads with Trump supporters Tuesday; The role of…
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G. Elliott Morris
Podcast with Paul Krugman: What can the 2025 elections tell us about 2026?
Paul asks me about what just happened in the 2025 elections, and I explain why Democratic elites and The New York Times learned the wrong lesson from…
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G. Elliott Morris
52:12
I talk about my Friday column with Ryan Lizza
The 2025 election, much like 2024, was about economic anxiety and anti-incumbent sentiment — and offers few lessons about the ideological direction of…
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G. Elliott Morris
46:54
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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and elections. A place for thinking smarter with data.
Top posts
The 2024 Trump "realignment" is already over
Claims of a conservative realignment of non-whites, the working class, and young voters have been highly exaggerated
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G. Elliott Morris
Seven data-driven lessons from the 2025 elections
Democrats outran their polls and swept statewide races from Georgia to New Jersey, on an agenda of affordability and a broad anti-Trump backlash
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G. Elliott Morris
How to watch tonight's statewide election results, plus final forecasts in key races
What the early and Election Day turnout data is saying in Virginia and New Jersey
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G. Elliott Morris
The Democrats' problem in the Senate is not progressives | Weekly roundup for November 2, 2025
Their big problem is not a lack of moderates, it's nationalization of party brands. And: A new era for the exit poll; The end game of partisan…
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G. Elliott Morris
New poll: Voters want Democrats to win in NJ, VA and in 2026, as they push back on Trump
Plus: Voters trust Democrats more than Republicans to handle the economy; a majority of voters say Trump is acting above the law; and 62% say the…
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G. Elliott Morris
The Strategist’s Fallacy in American politics
The average American voter does not think about politics the way elite strategists and pundits do
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G. Elliott Morris
The New York Times is wrong about the electoral value of moderation | Weekly roundup for October 26, 2025
The paper's arguments hinge on several methodological flaws, and it dismisses valid empirical alternatives. Plus: Gerrymandering, and the Republicans…
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G. Elliott Morris
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The Economist: Off the Charts
The Economist: Off the Charts
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Letters from an American
Heather Cox Richardson
Social Notes by Ryan Enos
Social Notes by Ryan Enos
Ryan Enos
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Wake Up To Politics
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G. Elliott Morris
You should quit social media for good
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Polls show voters now trust Democrats more to handle the economy
The issue that sank Democrats in 2024 now threatens to do the same to Republicans in 2025 and the 2026 midterms
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G. Elliott Morris
No Kings Day numbers update; and Democrats pull ahead in national party ID polls
What to make of this? Plus, the size of the anti-Trump, pro-GOP bloc; and polls on mass deportations. This is the Strength In Numbers October 2025 Q&A.
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G. Elliott Morris
Shutdowns are dumb and voters hate them | Weekly roundup for October 19, 2025
If you’re going to shut down the government, do it because you think it's worth it. Also this week: The VRA, gerrymandering and the midterms; party…
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G. Elliott Morris
Second "No Kings Day" protests the largest single-day political protest ever*, with 5-6.5 million participants
Here are the initial results from our crowdsourced crowd-counting estimates
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G. Elliott Morris
Democrats up 6, 10 points in new averages of New Jersey and Virginia governor polls
Aggregators take note: We found that many polls in these contests are sponsored by or affiliated with GOP campaigns, increasing potential bias of…
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G. Elliott Morris
Voters say Republicans aren't focusing enough on pocketbook issues
59% view the GOP as "too extreme," compared to 46% who say the same for Democrats
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G. Elliott Morris
Is Trump “doing what he promised”? | Weekly roundup for October 12, 2025
And what does that even mean? Also this week: Shutdown polls; Left-wing populism; Low favorability ratings for all U.S. leaders; Judges' concerns about…
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G. Elliott Morris
© 2025 G. Elliott Morris
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