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The real reason Democrats lost in 2024
The DNC "autopsy" omits the biggest reason Democrats lost in 2024. In doing so, it fails to prepare the party for the future
May 22
•
G. Elliott Morris
456
52
152
You can't gerrymander a bad approval rating
Trump's net approval is historically weak for this point in a presidency — and his approval on handling prices and the economy is even worse than Joe…
May 15
•
G. Elliott Morris
244
14
61
Pundits are wrong about the Democrats’ "missing" voters
In individual-level polling data, two-thirds of Trump disapprovers who aren’t backing Democrats on the generic ballot look like closeted Republicans…
May 1
•
G. Elliott Morris
251
27
75
The incredible shrinking Trump coalition
An updated look at the president's approval rating by geography and demographics shows just how narrow his coalition has become.
Apr 24
•
G. Elliott Morris
264
11
60
Here’s a model of consumer sentiment that doesn’t suck
On the question of why Americans are so glum, the answer is still (mostly) the prices, stupid. But you have to know where to look
Apr 17
•
G. Elliott Morris
113
29
31
Graphs about gas prices and presidential approval
History says gas prices have a small impact on presidential approval — but it's not equal for every president
Apr 10
•
G. Elliott Morris
142
13
27
The six big events that have dragged down Donald Trump's approval rating
At -21.4, the president's net rating has sunk to Watergate and Katrina levels — and one issue is driving most of the decline
Apr 3
•
G. Elliott Morris
222
17
46
Poll: 1 out of 8 Trump voters has buyer’s remorse about 2024
In our new poll, 13% of Donald Trump's 2024 voters say they regret their vote last cycle. In a hypothetical redo, Kamala Harris wins by nearly 3 points.
Mar 27
•
G. Elliott Morris
198
29
29
New poll: 58% of voters say the war in Iran is a bad use of taxpayer dollars
61% of Americans, including 1 out of 3 Republicans, say they would oppose the war if it raises gas prices (it has)
Mar 20
•
G. Elliott Morris
194
4
44
I graphed every president's approval rating during "rally around the flag" events
From World War II to Trump's bombing of Iran, only a handful of historical conflicts produced clear jumps in presidential approval. The Iran strikes…
Mar 13
•
G. Elliott Morris
203
16
32
The shutdown helps Democrats by changing what "immigration" means to voters
Trump's approval on immigration varies by nearly 20 points depending on whether respondents are asked about border security, deportations, ICE, or…
Feb 20
•
G. Elliott Morris
158
2
42
What Americans actually want done about ICE
Democratic proposals for reform earn supermajority support among U.S. voters
Feb 6
•
G. Elliott Morris
269
19
79
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