Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

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What can we learn from a close loss?
Kat Abughazaleh didn't win the IL-09 primary. But a 4-point loss may still tell us something important about the direction of the Democratic Party.
 • G. Elliott Morris
Trump has lost working-class whites
New race-by-income data shows Trump's approval has cratered among the working-class voters he gained in 2024. The war in Iran underscores his challenges
 • G. Elliott Morris
Forget the "MAGA split" on Iran. It's the independents and soft partisans that matter.
Plus, most "moderates" favor left-wing economic policies. Your weekly political data roundup for March 15, 2026.
 • G. Elliott Morris
Strength In Numbers is looking for smart survey research assistants
Note: Not a full-time job, but I will pay you — probably best for a smart undergrad or grad student or side hustle-r
 • G. Elliott Morris
I graphed every president's approval rating during "rally around the flag" events
From World War II to Trump's bombing of Iran, only a handful of historical conflicts produced clear jumps in presidential approval. The Iran strikes…
 • G. Elliott Morris
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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
Top posts
Why Trump hasn't received a "rally around the flag" approval bump for the Iran war
It's our first chart-a-rama episode! Plus: why a small approval bump among likely voters won't save Republicans in the midterms
 • G. Elliott Morris
42:24
How Trump's voters feel about him now, by demographic group
20% of young, non-white, and lower-income Trump voters now say they disapprove of how he's handling his job as president
 • G. Elliott Morris
64% of Americans want to stop changing the clocks
Plus, is America entering "woke 2.0?" Your weekly political data roundup for March 8, 2026.
 • G. Elliott Morris
53% of Americans say Trump has made the economy worse
While just 24% say he has made it better. The U.S. lost 92,000 jobs in February
 • G. Elliott Morris
All the polls on the U.S. war in Iran so far
According to a simple average of new high-quality surveys, 38% of Americans approve and 49% disapprove of U.S. military action in Iran. When ignoring…
 • G. Elliott Morris
What the polls say about Trump's war against Iran
And why a Talarico-Paxton matchup in Texas might just be a tossup
 • G. Elliott Morris and David Nir
49:51
Six data-driven reasons Texas could actually go blue in 2026
Democratic candidate James Talarico might be the best chance in recent history to flip a U.S. Senate seat Republicans have held for 65 years
 • G. Elliott Morris
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What can we learn from a close loss?
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Recent posts

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How you word a poll question can have a large impact on results
Our new poll finds question wording can swing opinion by 20+ points on immigration, the budget, and transgender rights. That's a problem for people who…
 • G. Elliott Morris
Trump starts a war with Iran that few Americans support
Support for the U.S. attack starts at 34% - 44% Your weekly political data roundup for March 1, 2026.
 • G. Elliott Morris
New poll: Trump's SOTU “pivot” to affordability didn't work
A poll conducted in the two days after Trump's State of the Union address reveals the public is still skeptical the president can deliver on…
 • G. Elliott Morris
New poll: Democrats' real problem isn't being too liberal — it's being seen as too weak
Americans, including swing voters, see the Republican Party as 20 points more extreme than Democrats — and the Democrats as weak and ineffective. So why…
 • G. Elliott Morris
49:27
Who’s really leading in the Texas Senate primaries?
This week's podcast: Primary polls are basically useless in Texas; Trump just posted his worst-ever numbers on immigration; and voters want Supreme…
 • G. Elliott Morris and David Nir
Two-thirds of Americans want term limits for Supreme Court justices
Our new poll finds majority support for structural reforms to the Supreme Court, Puerto Rico statehood, and limits on the pardon power
 • G. Elliott Morris
New poll: Voters would pause deportations to lower housing, food prices
Trump's State of the Union address was largely about crime and immigration. Our poll shows voters wanted to hear less about immigration policy and more…
 • G. Elliott Morris
Ahead of State of the Union, Trump's approval falls to new low of 37%
The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats leading on the generic ballot by 10 points among registered voters, and Trump approval on…
 • G. Elliott Morris

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Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
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