Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

Home
Notes
Chat
Trump Approval/Data Portal
Book
Contact
Archive
About
Trump's job approval is in potential "blue wave" territory
Unless there's a war, presidents always lose House seats in their first* midterm
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
15
What do disengaged voters think about Trump now?
Trump's job approval rating is down 33 points among people who pay the least amount of attention to the news
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
24
How low can Trump’s approval rating go?
Historically, net approval declines by about 20 points from the 100-day mark to the midterms
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
15
America's economy is stuck on the tracks
Inflation is up, hiring is down, and the GDP is shrinking (technically)
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
18
The thermostat comes for Trumpism
The public cares more about inflation and the economy now than it did in 2024, and less about immigration and crime
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
15
New posts 2-4x/week. Subscribe to get them in your inbox:
Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and democracy. A community for being smarter with data.
Top posts
Trump's immigration agenda is not popular
 • G. Elliott Morris
42
What do disengaged voters think about Trump now?
 • G. Elliott Morris
24
Young people are anti-Trump
 • G. Elliott Morris
41
Who is the most popular U.S. political figure?
 • G. Elliott Morris
69
Trump is losing voters on the economy
 • G. Elliott Morris
17
Young people are anti-Trump
Voters under 30 are highly exposed to economic downturns and don't want Trump's agenda
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
41
Trump has lost his advantage on inflation and immigration
In three short months, the president has squandered his position on the two main issues voters elected him to address
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
11
Activating paid memberships on May 11
This post is a heads-up for anyone who has pledged a memberships so far
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
Democrats have a large turnout advantage in non-presidential elections
There are two different electorates in America. Who wins is largely a function of which one shows up.
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
4
Should Democrats focus on immigration or the economy?
It is possible for parties to walk and chew gum at the same time
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
34
Trump is losing voters on the economy
Inflation got Donald Trump elected in 2024. Now, his ratings on economic issues are at their lowest point ever, even worse than during COVID-19
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
17
My links
My personal website
STRENGTH IN NUMBERS, the book
Other writing
Words at FiveThirtyEight, ABC, The Economist, NYT etc
Community
Split Ticket
The Downballot
Good Authority
Mischiefs of Faction
Recommendations
View all 14
GD POLITICS
GD POLITICS
Galen Druke
The Downballot
The Downballot
David Nir
Paul Krugman
Paul Krugman
Paul Krugman
User's avatar
Letters from an American
Heather Cox Richardson
Wake Up To Politics
Wake Up To Politics
Gabe Fleisher
The latest from
G. Elliott Morris
Trump's job approval is in potential "blue wave" territory
User's avatar
43:03
A conversation about Donald Trump’s poll numbers with Chris Cillizza
Trump is more popular than at this point in 2017, but his agenda is not
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
 and 
Chris Cillizza
8
Trump's immigration agenda is not popular
Polling shows most Americans oppose the details of enforcement and the president’s most extreme tactics
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
42
A conversation with Paul Krugman
We talk about data-driven journalism, polling, 2024, Trump and (of course) tariffs
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
2
Trump's approval hits new low after "Liberation Day" tariffs
His average economic approval also hits a new low (-13), and his tariffs are underwater by 30 points
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
7
DOGE is not cutting the deficit
Real federal spending is higher in 2025 so far than in past years, and DOGE is making it harder to raise revenue
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
14
Talking tariffs with Galen Druke and Mary Radcliffe (538 reunion!)
Why does Trump love tariffs — and are they likely to accomplish his policy goals?
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
4
"Hands Off!" anti-Trump/Musk protests first to rival 2017 #resistance
Donald Trump faces a low job approval rating, sinking economy, and now, harsh and mobilized public backlash
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
4
Inflation expectations are up and media sentiment is down
News sentiment tends to lag inflation expectations. Watch these charts
 • 
G. Elliott Morris
7
© 2025 G. Elliott Morris
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture