Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

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Shutdowns are dumb and voters hate them | Weekly roundup for October 19, 2025
If you’re going to shut down the government, do it because you think it's worth it. Also this week: The VRA, gerrymandering and the midterms; party…
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G. Elliott Morris
8
Second "No Kings Day" protests the largest single-day political protest ever*, with 5.2-8.2 million participants
Here are the initial results from our crowdsourced crowd-counting estimates
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G. Elliott Morris
13
Democrats up 6, 10 points in new averages of New Jersey and Virginia governor polls
Aggregators take note: We found that many polls in these contests are sponsored by or affiliated with GOP campaigns, increasing potential bias of…
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G. Elliott Morris
6
Voters say Republicans aren't focusing enough on pocketbook issues
59% view the GOP as "too extreme," compared to 46% who say the same for Democrats
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G. Elliott Morris
7
Is Trump “doing what he promised”? | Weekly roundup for October 12, 2025
And what does that even mean? Also this week: Shutdown polls; Left-wing populism; Low favorability ratings for all U.S. leaders; Judges' concerns about…
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G. Elliott Morris
23
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Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and elections. A place for thinking smarter with data.
Top posts
Will Democrats sweep Virginia's 2025 elections?
A conversation with forecaster and Virginia state politics expert Chaz Nuttycombe
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G. Elliott Morris
 and 
State Navigate
52:37
A majority of Americans oppose Trump sending the National Guard to Democratic-run cities
The president is defying the will of the people, federal judges, and the Constitution
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G. Elliott Morris
15
Announcing a new polling and elections data business (and new site for my polling averages)
FiftyPlusOne will publish polling averages and election forecasts, and make bespoke data collection available to individuals and business clients
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G. Elliott Morris
24
Why most polls overstate support for political violence
Misperceptions about the popularity of violence increase public support for it — but you can help change that.
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G. Elliott Morris
7
All the polls on the government shutdown so far | Weekly roundup for October 5, 2025
Also this week: Dems lead in Virginia election polling; economic sentiment is down; people are turning against sports betting; + more!
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G. Elliott Morris
14
Trump is racing against time
The president's approval rating is closer to Nicolás Maduro's than Vladimir Putin’s
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G. Elliott Morris
52
Experts now rate the U.S. as a "mixed" or "illiberal" democracy
Experts say political violence, Trump's attacks against non-partisan agencies and institutions, and partisan gerrymandering are their top concerns
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G. Elliott Morris
24
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The latest from
G. Elliott Morris
Shutdowns are dumb and voters hate them | Weekly roundup for October 19, 2025
User's avatar
Do non-voters still lean toward Trump?
Who will win the shutdown fight? And what makes a pollster trustworthy? That and more in the Strength In Numbers September 2025 Q&A.
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G. Elliott Morris
12
Voters, including Republicans, oppose gov. punishing critical speech | Weekly roundup for September 28, 2025
Also this week: Immigration attitudes move left; NSF cuts hit red states hard; Can Democrats become the anti-corruption party?; + more!
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G. Elliott Morris
22
Paul Krugman and Elliott Morris talk about Trump, the economy, and democracy
Paul asks me about Trump's polling, the government shutdown, whether we're still in an economic "vibecession," and why I've grown more outspoken about…
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G. Elliott Morris
10
Voters say they’ll blame Republicans more for a government shutdown
52% of U.S. adults agree with Democrats refusing to sign a funding bill unless Republicans restore health care spending to pre-OBBB levels
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G. Elliott Morris
23
It’s question time
Send in your questions for the September Q&A
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G. Elliott Morris
27
Are Democrats "talking too much" about left-wing issues?
The data mostly do not justify the conclusions people are drawing
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G. Elliott Morris
22
New poll: Percent saying America on the "wrong track" hits new high
Plus: Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot by 5, Americans reject ICE racial profiling; and approval of Trump's handling of prices and health…
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G. Elliott Morris
22
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