Sitemap - 2025 - Strength In Numbers
What voters in every state think about Trump and prices
Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll releases
10 new charts that show how Americans feel about prices and health care
Voters blame Trump for their economic woes
Add your own questions to our 2026 election polls!
The high cost of rolling over on immigration
The politics of young people is the politics of instability
Affordability voters favor Democrats over Republicans for 2026 House midterms
How cable news fueled the culture war and broke U.S. politics
New Republican voters are much less MAGA. That will hurt the party in 2026.
How low could Trump's approval realistically go?
What the special election in Tennessee says about the 2026 midterms
Eight charts that explain why "affordability" is suddenly everywhere
How can we be sure changes in polls reflect real changes in opinion?
What if America used ranked-choice voting for presidential primaries?
Two new polls show learning about Trump's policies moves public opinion toward Democrats
Democrats expand lead in U.S. House polls this week
The hidden axis: the left-right spectrum has a non-ideology problem
Trump hits a record low with political independents — in every state
One way the shutdown deal might actually help Democrats
You should quit social media for good
The Mamdani youthquake in New York City | Weekly roundup for November 9, 2025
Podcast with Paul Krugman: What can the 2025 elections tell us about 2026?
I talk about my Friday column with Ryan Lizza
The 2024 Trump "realignment" is already over
Seven data-driven lessons from the 2025 elections
How to watch tonight's statewide election results, plus final forecasts in key races
The Democrats' problem in the Senate is not progressives | Weekly roundup for November 2, 2025
New poll: Voters want Democrats to win in NJ, VA and in 2026, as they push back on Trump
The Strategist’s Fallacy in American politics
Polls show voters now trust Democrats more to handle the economy
No Kings Day numbers update; and Democrats pull ahead in national party ID polls
Shutdowns are dumb and voters hate them | Weekly roundup for October 19, 2025
Democrats up 6, 10 points in new averages of New Jersey and Virginia governor polls
Voters say Republicans aren't focusing enough on pocketbook issues
Is Trump “doing what he promised”? | Weekly roundup for October 12, 2025
Will Democrats sweep Virginia's 2025 elections?
A majority of Americans oppose Trump sending the National Guard to Democratic-run cities
Announcing a new polling and elections data business (and new site for my polling averages)
Why most polls overstate support for political violence
All the polls on the government shutdown so far | Weekly roundup for October 5, 2025
Experts now rate the U.S. as a "mixed" or "illiberal" democracy
Do non-voters still lean toward Trump?
Paul Krugman and Elliott Morris talk about Trump, the economy, and democracy
Voters say they’ll blame Republicans more for a government shutdown
Are Democrats "talking too much" about left-wing issues?
New poll: Percent saying America on the "wrong track" hits new high
A lot of powerful people just don’t realize how unpopular Trump is
No roundup post today; I’m wrangling our poll data
When identity politics trumps the Constitution
The Senators who beat expectations; + a FAQ about WAR/WARP
House retirements forecast Democratic gains in 2026
How Democrats can beat Trump on the economy
Six months of Strength In Numbers
Trump faces a large intensity gap in his approval rating
Support for partisan gerrymandering is growing | Weekly roundup for August 31, 2025
Voters say crime is a problem, but don't approve of Trump's response
Is Texas actually a blue state?
Democrats flip Trump +11 seat in Iowa special election
Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot by 8; voters back fair maps and oppose Trump's tariffs
Republicans are trying to cheat their way to a House victory. Will it work?
Data over dogma: A reply to Matt Yglesias
Pew: Trump has lost 30% of his young 2024 voters | Weekly roundup for August 17, 2025
Trump is as unpopular on inflation as Biden was in 2022
Moderation is not a silver bullet
The U.S. House candidates who moved the needle in 2024
Gerrymandering is unpopular. Shocker! | Weekly roundup for August 10, 2025
Trump is underwater on trade in 40 states
Democrats take lead on Gallup national party ID | Weekly roundup for August 3, 2025
Democrats lead in House generic ballot polls by 2.3 points
Texas Republicans are trying to cheat Democrats out of midterms victory
The Democratic image is underwater — but they're not losing
New poll: Democrats lead House generic ballot; deportations unpopular; Musk party flops
Americans don't want mass deportations | Weekly roundup for July 20, 2025
Trump's approval hits new low as Epstein pressure mounts
What midterm generic ballot polls tell us this early
Public opinion on immigration is moving left | Weekly roundup for July 13, 2025
Who would vote for Elon Musk's America Party?
What can Zohran Mamdani teach Democrats?
The most unpopular budget law ever? | Weekly roundup for July 6, 2025
The numbers are in: Democrats are fired up
Pew on non-voters | Weekly roundup for June 29, 2025
On Iran, a reminder that party trumps values
Strength In Numbers Q&A for June 2025, part 2
Strength In Numbers Q&A for June 2025, part 1
Polls: Americans oppose U.S. bombing of Iran
Interview with Paul Krugman and David Nir on special elections, anti-Trump backlash, and more
Interview with Ryan Lizza about our independent political polling
The myth of Republican isolationism
New poll: Trump and deportations unpopular, Dems up 8 in House vote
"No Kings Day" protests turn out millions, rebuking Trump
All the polls on the LA protests and Trump's response so far
Democrats won more special elections last night
Why the LA protests might be bad for Trump
Are we entering an era of one-term presidents?
What voters think about Trump, in their own words
Media coverage of Kilmar Abrego Garcia hurt Trump, not Democrats
The Trump administration is trying to block politically inconvenient government data
Interview with Michael Podhorzer about a data-driven approach to covering Trump
Not all Trump voters "voted for this"
The White House is lying about the GOP budget bill
How much should politicians (and pundits) follow the polls?
Republicans want you to pay more for less
Trump's job approval rating by state
What makes the “best pollsters” of 2024 so accurate?
If the economy recovers, when will morale improve?
Do any Trump voters regret their choice?
New poll: Americans oppose cuts to Medicaid, want Democrats to control the U.S. House
Live with David Nir to chat about Strength In Numbers
Announcing the Strength In Numbers/Verasight U.S. politics poll
Building a new home for data-driven political journalism
How should the media cover Trump's $400 million plane from Qatar?
Trump's job approval is in potential "blue wave" territory
What do disengaged voters think about Trump now?
How low can Trump’s approval rating go?
America's economy is stuck on the tracks
The thermostat comes for Trumpism
Trump has lost his advantage on inflation and immigration
Activating paid memberships on May 11
Democrats have a large turnout advantage in non-presidential elections
Strength In Numbers, the book deal
Should Democrats focus on immigration or the economy?
Trump is losing voters on the economy
A conversation about Donald Trump’s poll numbers with Chris Cillizza
Trump's immigration agenda is not popular
A conversation with Paul Krugman
Trump's approval hits new low after "Liberation Day" tariffs
DOGE is not cutting the deficit
Talking tariffs with Galen Druke and Mary Radcliffe (538 reunion!)
"Hands Off!" anti-Trump/Musk protests first to rival 2017 #resistance
Inflation expectations are up and media sentiment is down
Polls: Trump is underwater on tariffs, inflation and the economy
Democrats win, Elon loses in Wisconsin's Supreme Court election
How to watch tonight's Wisconsin Supreme Court election like a pro
Americans think "#SignalGate" is worse than Hillary's emails
Democrats are winning special elections like it's 2018
Who is the most popular U.S. political figure?